The Five Ps for deciding whether to stay or leave1. Possibility: Is there a real path where you are?There is an important difference between a promotion that has not happened yet and a promotion that has nowhere to happen. Start by looking at the structure around you. If you report to a Director and your next move is Director, you may be facing a structural ceiling. Unless your manager moves up, your role is redesigned, or you transfer to another part of the organization, the company may have nowhere to put your promotion. The same is true if the company is flattening the organization, reducing headcount, combining leadership roles, or freezing promotions. Your performance cannot solve a structural problem. Ask: - Does the next-level role exist?
- Is there a business need for someone at that level?
- Is there room in the organization for me to move up?
- When could a decision realistically happen?
Do not confuse positive feedback with a viable promotion path. If nobody can answer those questions, the opportunity may be more theoretical than real. 2. Proof: Can you make a credible case for the next level?Before you decide that your company is holding you back, make sure your promotion case would hold up somewhere else. Leaving will not automatically fix a readiness problem. In fact, moving up while changing companies can be harder because an external organization has less context. Your current company has watched you work. They understand the complexity behind your results. They know how you handle pressure, influence stakeholders, and navigate the organization. An external company only knows what you can prove. If you are pursuing a VP role, your case needs to go beyond strong execution. You need to show that you can own broader business outcomes, think beyond your function, influence senior leaders, make decisions with incomplete information, and lead at a larger scale. You also need to explain why the business needs you at that level. Ask: - What evidence shows that I am already operating at the next level?
- Which business outcomes have I influenced beyond my current scope?
- What would make an executive confident that I can handle more authority?
- Why does the organization need me at the higher level?
- Where am I still relying on potential instead of proof?
If you cannot answer those questions clearly, the next move may be to strengthen the case, not change companies. 3. Power: Are the right people moving the decision forward?Positive feedback is not the same as sponsorship. You can have several executives agree that you are capable of becoming a VP and still have nobody doing the work required to make it happen. Senior-level promotions are usually discussed during talent reviews, succession planning, budgeting conversations, and reorganizations. You need someone with enough credibility and influence to advocate for you in those rooms. A sponsor does more than tell you that you are doing a great job. They help create the conditions for the promotion. They raise your name with the right people, give you opportunities to prove readiness, address concerns about your candidacy, and connect your advancement to a real business need. The best way to assess sponsorship is to look at what happens after the conversation. Ask: - Who is actively advocating for me?
- Which decision-makers know that I want the promotion?
- What is my sponsor doing to move the case forward?
- Are more senior leaders becoming involved?
- Has anything changed since the last conversation?
If the answer is that everyone supports you but nothing is happening, you may have encouragement, not sponsorship. 4. Pace: How long are you willing to wait?Sometimes staying is the smarter move. Your company already knows your work. You have relationships, credibility, and institutional knowledge. If the promotion is genuinely achievable within the next three to six months, it may be easier to earn the title internally and use it to strengthen your future opportunities. But waiting only makes sense when the extra time improves your position. Ask yourself: - Will another six months give me stronger proof?
- Is there a specific decision point ahead?
- Are senior leaders taking meaningful action?
- Is the opportunity becoming more concrete?
- What am I giving up while I wait?
Every extra year spent operating above your title can affect your compensation, confidence, and future marketability. That does not mean you should leave the moment a promotion is delayed. It means waiting should be an active decision with a clear purpose, not the default because leaving feels uncomfortable. If nothing meaningful is likely to change, more patience may not be the answer. 5. Payoff: What are you actually optimizing for?When people say they want a promotion, they are often combining several goals. They may want the title, more scope, a larger team, better compensation, stronger leadership, more influence, or a better long-term trajectory. Those goals may lead to different decisions. If compensation is the main priority, an external move will often give you more leverage. I have seen leaders increase their compensation by 30 percent, and sometimes even 50 percent, by changing companies. That kind of jump is much harder to achieve internally. Mina’s almost six-figure increase in total compensation would have been extremely difficult to replicate through an internal promotion. But money is only one part of the equation. A higher salary may come with smaller scope. A VP title may come with little real authority. A larger team may come with leadership you do not trust. Make sure you are optimizing for the right goal. Ask: - What matters most to me right now?
- Which outcome is non-negotiable?
- What am I willing to trade off?
- Which path improves my long-term position?
- Am I chasing the title, or the opportunity behind it?
The goal is not to maximize everything. It is to make the tradeoffs deliberately so you are not surprised later. Test both paths before you chooseYou do not need to decide today whether to stay or leave. You can test both paths first. Test the internal pathHave a direct conversation with your manager or sponsor. Do not simply ask whether they think you are ready. Ask what would need to be true for the promotion to happen. Get clear on: - What still needs to be demonstrated
- Who needs to support the decision
- Whether the role and budget exist
- What organizational changes need to happen
- When the decision will be reviewed again
Then watch what happens. Do the right people become involved? Does the feedback become more specific? Are you given opportunities that strengthen the case? Does the organization begin moving toward a decision? A productive conversation should create more clarity and action, not simply another round of encouragement. Test the external pathAt the same time, look at a small number of roles at the next level. Speak with recruiters, former colleagues, and people in your network. Test your story and apply selectively. Pay attention to the response. Are companies considering you for the level you want, or pulling you toward lateral roles? Which parts of your experience make you credible? Where are they questioning your readiness? The goal is not to launch a frantic job search. It is to understand whether the market sees you at the next level and what it would take to become a stronger candidate. |
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